Kentucky Wildcats (0-2) vs Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-1)

Saturday, October 10, 2020 at 7:30 pm

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At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Kentucky.  The Bulldogs opened their season with an impressive 44-34 upset win (as a 14.5-point underdog) at LSU -- a game in which QB K.J. Costello threw for an SEC-record 623 yards (and five touchdowns).  Understandably, the Bulldogs suffered a letdown last week when they fell at home to Arkansas, as a 16.5-point favorite.  But off that upset defeat, we'll grab the points with Miss State against the Wildcats, who are 0-2 SU/ATS this season.  Kentucky's never been reliable as a home favorite vs. SEC rivals, as they've covered just 13 of 35.  And Mississippi State also falls into a 99-50 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses, if they were favored by 13+ points in that upset defeat.  Finally, SEC Conference teams have gone 122-85 ATS away from home off an upset loss.  Take the Bulldogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

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Al’s Pick Mississippi State Bulldogs: +3 -110

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