Houston Cougars (3-4) vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (4-4)
Thursday, December 24, 2020 at 3:30 pm
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors + the points over Houston. For the season, the Cougars had a losing record (3-4), a negative scoring margin (-0.28), a negative ATS record (3-4 ATS), and a negative point spread differential (-4.14). Yet they find themselves hefty favorites this afternoon vs. the Rainbow Warriors. We will fade Houston, as Bowl favorites (or PK), with a negative scoring margin, and a point spread differential of -1.75 (or worse) have covered a paltry 26.3% over the last 41 seasons. Even worse: Houston's defense surrenders north of 32.5 ppg. Unfortunately, Bowl favorites (or PK) with a defense that gives up more than 31.5 ppg have gone 0-17 ATS their last 17. Take Hawaii + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Al’s Pick Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: +10 -110
AUTHOR: Al McMordie
