BIG AL's 5* CONFERENCE USA GAME OF THE YEAR!
Marshall Thundering Herd (6-0) vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-5)
Saturday, November 14, 2020 at 12:00 pm
At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Middle Tennessee State. This will be the Blue Raiders' first game since upsetting Rice, 40-34, in overtime three weeks ago. That was Middle Tennessee's second victory on the season, as it also upset Florida International, 31-28, as a 6.5-point underdog. But Marshall will be MTSU's most difficult opponent yet this year, and MTSU is a wallet-busting 0-5 SU/ATS as a conference underdog of 13+ points, as it's lost by an average of 30.8 ppg, and failed to cover by an average of 8.5 ppg. The Herd have broken out to a spotless 6-0 record this season, and are ranked #16 in the country. On Saturday, they'll be looking to avenge an upset loss to MTSU in Murfreesboro last season. Marshall was favored in that game by 4.5 points, but lost 24-13. We'll lay the points with Marshall, as revenge-minded winning teams have cashed 71% at home, as favorites of more than 4 points, if they were also a winning team the previous season, but lost by more than 7 points that season to a team that finished with a losing record. That bodes well for the Herd today. As does the fact that undefeated, revenge-minded teams, with a 6-0 or better record, have gone 14-1 ATS as favorites of more than 14 points! Finally, Marshall also falls into 61-19 and 92-34 ATS systems of mine that go against certain opponents off an upset win. Take the Herd minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.