Fargo's NBA Signature Enforcer (58-41 Run)

Minnesota Timberwolves (64-29) vs Dallas Mavericks (58-36)

Wednesday, May 22, 2024 at 8:30 pm

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This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Minnesota wants to set the tone of this series as it gained home court advantage with its seven-game series win over defending champion Denver. However, the Timberwolves are in a tough spot though and while there really is not a letdown in the postseason, history shows the typical letdown following an emotional series win. There have been 88 teams coming off a seven-game series and 55 times, that team has lost Game One of the following series and we are getting value with the number with the Mavericks. Some may point to the fact that Minnesota won three of the four regular season meetings but that comes with a huge asterisk as Luka Doncic missed two of those losses while Kyrie Irving missed all three and in the one game both played, the Mavericks won with the duo combining for 69 points, 14 rebounds and 13 assists. Minnesota has a solid home court advantage as it is 33-13 at the Target Center but Dallas is no pushover on the road where it is 29-18, going 31-16 against the number in those games. Minnesota is known for its strong interior defense as it was No. 1 in the NBA in points in the paint defense since the trade deadline but No. 2 in that category was Dallas. The Mavericks are 19-8 ATS in its last 27 road games revenging a same season loss and we can cash in two scenarios here, either a Dallas outright win or a close loss and we will grab the points in this series opener. 10* (551) Dallas Mavericks

Matt’s Pick Dallas Mavericks: +4.5 -110

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