Fargo's NBA Signature Enforcer (55-39 Run)

Minnesota Timberwolves (62-29) vs Denver Nuggets (64-28)

Thursday, May 16, 2024 at 8:30 pm

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This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Signature Enforcer. After falling behind 2-0 in this series with a pair of home losses, Denver has taken over the series with three straight wins including the first win from a home team in Game Five. We think the second home win takes place tonight in Minnesota and the Timberwolves extend the series to a full seven games. The Nuggets offense was elite in Game Five as they attempted 47 percent of their shots at the rim and converted on 73.5 percent of those. Nikola Jokic had one of the best postseason games ever as he scored 40 points and handed out 13 assists while not committing a single turnover. Another game like that and it will be lights out for Minnesota but that will not happen. While the Denver offense has been spectacular over the last three games, Minnesota has to get its own offense going as it has been pretty bad. The Timberwolves are averaging 95.8 points per 100 possessions in the half-court over the past three games which is a 20-point disparity from the half-court offense from the Nuggets. Additionally to improving the half-court, Minnesota needs better transition as it is the far more athletic team and had only four fast break points last game. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams shooting 36.5 percent or better from long range, after two straight games allowing 50 percent shooting or higher. This situation is 64-31 ATS (67.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (526) Minnesota Timberwolves

Matt’s Pick Minnesota Timberwolves: -2 -112

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