Fargo's NBA Signature Enforcer (49-27 Run)

Indiana Pacers (49-37) vs Milwaukee Bucks (50-35)

Sunday, April 28, 2024 at 7:00 pm

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This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Indiana has a chance to put this series heavily in its favor after losing the opener and winning the last two games including an overtime win in Game Three. The Pacers are now in a spot going up against a Bucks team without their two top players and the line is reflecting that but their top line against even a depleted roster does not warrant them close to a double-digit favorite. Indiana remains home where it is 27-15 which includes a 20-11 record when favored but they are just 15-15-1 against the number. The season is basically on the line for the Bucks tonight and without Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard puts them in a tough situation but this is where we take the value. Those two can take over a game late but the other seven top rotation players are all veterans who can pick this team up and keep it close which is what we all care about here. The Bucks can easily cash it is but these are professionals and there is a disrespect that will come into play. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a home win by three points or less. This situation is 28-9 ATS (75.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (553) Milwaukee Bucks

Matt’s Pick Milwaukee Bucks: +10 -115

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