Fargo's NBA Signature Enforcer (45-26 Run)

This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Cleveland took advantage of its home floor with a pair of nearly identical wins as its top rated defense locked down and allowed 83 and 86 points on 32.6 percent and 36.2 percent shooting respectively. What is not being said much is the fact the Cavaliers offense was not very good as they did not get over 97 points and shot 44 percent or less in both games. Cleveland is a solid 23-19 on the road but now goes to an environment with its first home playoff game since April of 2019. The Magic have had no offense and never even had a lead in Cleveland and while the Cavaliers defense has been the catalyst, Orlando has not shot well as it has missed wide open looks but the return home will cure that. The Magic are 29-11 at home where they shoot 48.8 percent and they are not dead yet in this series despite only 8.6 percent of the 313 times that teams were down 0-2 and came back to win but in 22 of the 27 times it was the road team that came back including six times the last three years. Here, we play on home favorites after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (526) Orlando Magic

AUTHOR: Matt Fargo

Matt is one of the most respected and consistent handicappers since 2000 and his thorough analysis has earned him a devoted following. He is considered a situational handicapper above anything and a contrarian at heart, a great edge to beat the books