Fargo's 10* NBA Wednesday Enforcer (19-13-1 Playoffs)

Miami Heat (56-32) at Los Angeles Lakers (64-22)

Wednesday, September 30, 2020 at 9:00 pm

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This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Miami got through Milwaukee in five games and then Boston in six games and the Heat were underdogs in all but one of those games with the exception being the one game against Milwaukee where Giannis did not play. The Heat will be underdogs in every game of this series, but they have proven they can handle the task with the best top to bottom roster in the NBA. Of the 12 victories in the postseason, seven were by at least seven points so they have not narrowly escaped and are clearly playing great basketball. the Heat have outscored opponents by 4.5 points per 100 possessions in the playoffs, despite facing two of the three teams that finished the regular season ranked top 10 on both offense and defense. This is a tough matchup for the Lakers and even though Los Angeles won both regular season meetings, this is a different Miami rotation now that features three different starters that did not start those games and two of the old starters are not even getting on the court now. Miami is a much better three-point shooting team and as long as they can play to their average, they can steal a few games in this series. Miami is 8-0 when shooting better than 37 percent from long range as a team and 8-1 when making 13 or more threes in a game. The Heat are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall while the Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games playing on three or more days rest. 10* (701) Miami Heat

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Matt’s Pick Miami Heat: +5 -110

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