Fargo's MLB Tuesday Triple Play (+$2,080)

Cincinnati Reds (19-28) vs San Diego Padres (25-24)

Tuesday, May 21, 2024 at 6:40 pm

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This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. San Diego is in a tough spot on Tuesday as it is coming off a doubleheader on Monday with travel added to it after that so we might not see the full starting lineup and even if we do, this will be a tired bunch playing three tough games against the Braves over the weekend. The Reds struggles continue but they are coming off a tough west coast trip which culminated with three losses against Los Angeles where they managed only five runs. Joe Musgrove is coming off a quality outing in his last start which happened to come against the Reds and he is favored again, albeit not by a lot. He has struggled as in eight outings, he has a lofty 6.37 ERA and 1.51 WHIP and his underlying metrics suggest no positive regression as he is ranked in the 10th percentile or lower in xERA, xBA and barrel rate. Andrew Abbott meanwhile is having a fantastic season as he has a 3.06 ERA and 1.14 WHIP through nine starts which comes after a solid rookie campaign. He is the exact opposite of Musgrove as Abbott is ranked in the 86th percentile in xERA, xBA and hard-hit rate. 10* (902) Cincinnati Reds

Matt’s Pick Cincinnati Reds: +101

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