Fargo's MLB Sweet Spot (62% Run)

Chicago Cubs (24-19) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (19-25)

Thursday, May 16, 2024 at 7:40 pm

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This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PIRATES for our MLB Sweet Spot. We won with the Cubs last night as they salvaged the series finale against Atlanta after getting shutout the first two games and we will be playing against them here. It has been a great start to the season but this is a tough matchup yet laying a fairly higher than should be number. The Pirates are off to a slow start at 19-25 but the splits are in their favor as they are 9-6 against lefties compared to 10-19 against righties. While Paul Skenes is getting all of the rookie attention, rookie Jared Jones is having a season. FanGraphs system credits Jones with the best overall makeup in the Majors so far including Stuff+ and Pitching + metrics, largely thanks to his top-ranking fastball. He has yet to allow more than three runs to post a 2.68 ERA and his 57:6 K:BB ratio has impacted his incredible 0.87 WHIP. Justin Steele is still not back to full health as he missed all of April with a hamstring strain and has been limited in his two return starts. This includes a poor outing last time out against these Pirates as he allowed six runs in just four innings. 10* (953) Pittsburgh Pirates

Matt’s Pick Pittsburgh Pirates: +119

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