Fargo's MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot (67% Run)

Boston Red Sox (16-13) vs San Francisco Giants (14-15)

Tuesday, April 30, 2024 at 7:10 pm

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This is a play on the BOSTON RED SOX for our MLB Tuesday Sweet Spot. Boston took the last two games in its series against the Cubs which snapped a two-game skid and the Red Sox are now just 5-8 at home which is giving some value as is the pitching matchup. The Giants have alternated wins and losses over their last five games and they are back on the road following a nine-game homestand. San Francisco has an identical road record as the Red Sox have at home yet come in as a significant road favorite mainly because of Logan Webb. He is coming off another shutout performance as he went eight innings against the Mets which was his second straight outing of allowing no runs. He has dominated at home but has been average on the road with a 4.32 ERA in three starts. Cooper Criswell is an unknown name for most which is also playing into the number but he has been solid with a 2.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his first two starts. Here, we play against National League road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season, after allowing four runs or less in three straight games. This situation is 38-22 (63.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (970) Boston Red Sox

Matt’s Pick Boston Red Sox: +115

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