Fargo's MLB Saturday Sweet Spot (2-0 L2D)

San Diego Padres (14-14) vs Philadelphia Phillies (16-10)

Saturday, April 27, 2024 at 8:40 pm

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This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. After blowing a 9-4 lead in the eighth inning on Thursday, the Padres lost this series opener 9-3 on Friday. They are now a game under .500 at 14-15 but send their ace to the hill on Saturday. The Phillies have won two straight games and seven of their last nine to move to 17-10 which is good for second place in the National League East, two and a half games behind Atlanta. We are going against Ranger Suarez who has now gone three straight starts without allowing a run covering 22 innings. This is not sustainable and faces a potent offense tonight. Dylan Cease will look to keep his hot start going as well and give the San Diego bullpen a break. He has allowed two runs or less in all five of his starts and has a 1.82 ERA and 0.74 WHIP over that stretch. He has allowed only 11 hits in his 29.7 innings including just one home run. Here, we play on favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a bullpen after two straight games throwing five or more innings going up against an opponent with a bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.75 the last 10 games. This situation is 31-5 (86.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (906) San Diego Padres

Matt’s Pick San Diego Padres: -118

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