Fargo's MLB Thursday Underdog Double Play (+$11,680 Run)

Kansas City Royals (45-66) vs Chicago White Sox (56-54)

Thursday, August 11, 2022 at 2:10 pm

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his is a play on the KANSAS CITY ROYALS as part of our MLB Thursday Underdog Double Play. The White Sox are two games over .500 and sit a game and a half behind Minnesota and Cleveland in the American League Central and is two games out of the final Wild Card spot. They are 18-14 over their last 32 games which includes a 9-7 record on the road where they actually have been solid overall this season but are again priced up here yet for the obvious reason but it has taken a tumble. This is contrarian as it can get as we are going against Dylan Cease who is the hottest pitching in baseball over the last two-plus months as he has a 0.59 ERA over his last 13 starts with Chicago going 11-2 in those games including 6-0 on the road so we know who the public is on here but the number has come down as we are seeing a reverse line move which is rare in baseball. Kansas City has won six of its last 10 games and is hanging around despite giving away two of its top hitters at the trade deadline and come into the game six games under .500 at home. The Royals are catching a good number here because of the opposing starting pitcher but not taken into consideration as much is their own starter. Zack Greinke certainly is not the pitcher he once used to be but he has had a good season with the exception of a few bad starts on the road. At home, he has a 2.23 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in nine starts with the Royals going 6-3 in those games and in those nine games, he has allowed two runs or less eight times and he is not facing a potent offense that has struggled to score of late. Here, we play against American League road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with an OBP of .320 or less and starting a pitcher who gave up one or less earned runs last outing going up against a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.30 to 1.35. this situation is 40-18 (69 percent) since 1997. 10* (914) Kansas City Royals

Matt’s Pick Kansas City Royals: +155

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