Fargo's 10* MLB Friday Sweet Spot (+$19,125 MLB Run)

Tampa Bay Rays (48-24) vs Houston Astros (36-35)

Friday, October 16, 2020 at 6:07 pm

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This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Friday Sweet Spot. After dropping the first three games of this series, Houston has won the last two to get back into it and winning the whole thing is not on its side based on history, momentum has clearly shifted. After a lackluster offensive regular season (.264 average with a 92 OPS+ and five homers), Carlos Correa is now hitting .342/.457/.816 with six homers in the playoffs. The pitching matchup is the same as Game One with Blake Snell going for the Rays and Framber Valdez getting the ball for the Astros. Valdez, who has pitched to a 2.00 ERA in 18 postseason innings this year is on full rest following a great start against Tampa Bay, but his offense could not back him up. Snell was decent as well, but he has allowed four home runs over his last two postseason starts and he has not made it through six innings in all of his 14 starts this season. Here, we play on American League underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season, after scoring and allowing five runs or less last four games. This situation is 31-18 (63.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (901) Houston Astros

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Matt’s Pick Houston Astros: +124

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