Fargo's 10* MLB Sunday Sweet Spot (+$15,825 MLB Run)

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Tampa Bay Rays (45-22) vs Houston Astros (34-32)

Sunday, October 11, 2020 at 7:37 pm

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This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Sunday Sweet Spot. The Rays finished the regular season with the best record in the American League, but it took them five games and a late home run to take out the Yankees in the ALDS. Houston finished the 60-game season an underwhelming 14th in runs scored, 16th in OPS, and 19th in home runs. However, the Astros awoke in the ALDS to post 33 runs in a lopsided four-game series with the A's. They are peaking at the right time and they bring in a potent right-handed lineup which is not great news for the Rays and lefty Blake Snell who allowed four runs on six hits in five innings which included three home runs allowed, against the powerful right-handed lineup of the Yankees in his lone ALDS appearance. Framber Valdez gets the Game One start after posting a 1.42 ERA over his past four outings, including a pair of postseason gems. The Houston pitching has been up and down, but the offense has come back to life and it gets a great matchup in this opening game. Here, we play against American League favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 that are averaging between 4.4 and 4.9 rpg going up against a starting pitcher with an ERA between 4.20 and 4.70, after a combined score of three runs or less. This situation is 24-10 (70.6 percent) since 1997. 10* (961) Houston Astros

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Matt’s Pick Houston Astros: +134

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