Fargo's 10* CFB Friday Enforcer (17-13-2 Run)

Tulane Green Wave (2-2) vs SMU Mustangs (4-0)

Friday, October 16, 2020 at 6:00 pm

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This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. SMU comes in with a 4-0 record including a big win over Memphis last time out. While the win was big, the Mustangs lost leading wide receiver Reggie Roberson (22 catches, second-in-the-nation 474 yards, five touchdowns) and starting running back TJ McDaniel (60 carries, 297 yards) to season-ending injuries. Those are two huge losses for Houston which comes in ranked No. 4 in total offense. We feel the Mustangs are overinflated in this role as road favorites. Tulane is coming off a blowout loss against Houston as it jumped ahead 24-7 but then was outscored 42-7 the rest of the game. The issues have come in the second half this year, dropping Tulane to 0-2 in the conference for the first time since 2016. Tulane had its 56-game streak of rushing for at least 100 yards snapped last week at Houston. The 56-game streak dated back to the end of the 2015 season. The Green Wave are still averaging 242.8 ypg on the ground and the rushing attack should get back on trach here against a below average Houston rushing defense. SMU is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 road games against teams averaging 4.75 or more ypc while going 3-16 ATS in its last 19 games after a win by three or less points. Here, we play against teams after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game going up against an opponent after gaining 3.25 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 45-17 ATS (72.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (108) Tulane Green Wave

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Matt’s Pick Tulane Green Wave: +6.5 -110

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