Fargo's 10* CFB Big 12 Game of the Year (14-10-2 Run)

TCU Horned Frogs (1-1) vs Kansas State Wildcats (2-1)

Saturday, October 10, 2020 at 4:00 pm

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This is a play on the KANSAS ST. WILDCATS for our CFB Big 12 Game of the Year. The TCU defense had a goal-line fumble recovery to stun Texas 33-31 in a game that had 26 penalties and ended when TCU took a safety as time ran out. Because of the win, the Horned Frogs are now overinflated in what is a classic letdown spot. Head coach Gary Patterson is anti-Texas and that is the one game he gets his players fired up for and it showed once again but it has been a letdown of late as TCU is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following the Texas game. The Horned Frogs are 129th in rushing defense, allowing seven YPC. That is a problem here as Kansas St. running back Deuce Vaughn averages 5.7 ypc on 36 carries after three games behind a strongly improved offensive line. On the other side, with one of the better pass rushes in the country, Kansas St. has the ability to pressure TCU quarterback Max Duggan which makes life easier for its secondary. This is a potent TCU offense, but the Wildcats can definitely slow it down. TCU is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games off an upset win as a road underdog. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. This situation is 54-21 ATS (72 percent) since 1992. 10* (335) Kansas St. Wildcats

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Matt’s Pick Kansas State Wildcats: +8.5 -110

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