Cincinnati Bengals (0-1) at Cleveland Browns (0-1)
Thursday, September 17, 2020 at 8:20 pm
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 728-546-26. Oh week 2 is the best week. Again, not surprising because this angle takes into consideration overreaction.
One of our top projection models found this game going over 61.2 percent of time. Another of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found that 58 percent go over, a decent bet for this software.