Major

Miami Heat (53-30) at Boston Celtics (56-28)

Thursday, September 17, 2020 at 7:00 pm

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1475-1128-50. One of our top simulation programs has it going under 61.7 percent of the time, over just 36.7 with the rest pushes.

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See Who Our Experts Picked To Win

Joe’s Pick Under: 212 -110

AUTHOR: Joe Duffy

Joe Duffy is the leading handicapper of advanced analytics, exploiting statistically significant computer systems and betting formulas. he has been handicapping sports literally since childhood. A native of suburban Philadelphia, he became spellbound

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Guaranteed packages automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

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