Joe D'Amico's NCAAF BEST BET
SMU Mustangs (0-0) at Texas State Bobcats (0-0)
Saturday, September 05, 2020 at 4:30 pm
This is my BEST BET play.
1:30 pm pst.
This line officially opened at -17 and quickly jumped up to -22.5. It's hovering around 23.5. SMU comes off a 10-win season in which they started off at 8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS. It took a very good Memphis team to put up 54 to their 48 to hand them their first loss. They love to run up scores. Guys, they are infamous for covering big numbers in August, September, and October. Now, they did lose their top-two ball carriers. But, reports are that they won't miss a beat with their new backfield personnel. This is an offense that accounted for over 43.0 PPG a season ago and this season sees the return of their gun slinging QB, Shane Buechele, who threw for 3929 yards a year ago, with 34 TD's against just 10 INT's. He has an arsenal at his disposal as his six top receivers all return as well. This is bad news for a Texas State secondary that ranked 106th vs. the pass last year, with an overall defensive unit that has only four starters returning. The Mustangs will own the time of possession, keeping the Bobcats "D" on the field and win this game by 4 or more TD's. Lay the 22.5. Take SMU. Thank you.