Arizona Diamondbacks (48-103) vs Atlanta Braves (79-70)
Wednesday, September 22, 2021 at 9:40 pm
I like the Braves and D-Backs to go over the total in this one. Both starters are below-average starters with above-average names in my opinion, hence we are getting a pretty good number. Merrill Kelley has been hit or miss for the Diamondbacks in his career but he is still someone I tend to fade. Ian Anderson was once a top-pitching prospect for Atlanta and while the Braves are not giving up on him yet, he has not proven to be a shutdown guy at all. Both of these pitchers allow a hefty amount of free passes and home runs and neither have great strikeout stuff. Anderson's expected ERA is 4.50 while Kelly's is 4.34. We know that the Braves lineup is deadly but the Diamondbacks have shown offensive ability in many spots down the stretch this season as well. Both of these bullpens are susceptible to giving up a few runs as well so I will take the over in this matchup.