NFL- Cincinnati @ Washington
Washington Football Team (2-7) vs Cincinnati Bengals (2-6-1)
Sunday, November 22, 2020 at 1:00 pm
After Alex Smith of Washington teed off last week in a big output (Alex Smith threw for a career-best 390 yards) Im expecting a letdown here this week.
I looked at this game from a long term trend outlook looking for value on the line . Most will handicap this game from an empirical view point, but in a game that shows some long term negative trending algorithms on the home team , Im recommending we take a swipe with the road dog. Note: NFL teams like Washington that won less than six games in their last campaign are 0-22 ATS L/22 as a home favorite when they are off a defeat , and then are scheduled to play away games in each of the next two weeks, and they are facing a non-divisional foe like Cincinnati that has averaged more than 26 minutes of possession time. Add to that WASHINGTON is 9-23 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992.
Also CINCINNATI is 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season which was the case last time out.
NFL Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CINCINNATI) - off a road loss, with a losing record are 41-15 ATS L/10 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.
Play on Cincinnati Bengals to cover