Las Vegas Raiders (5-3) vs Denver Broncos (3-5)
Sunday, November 15, 2020 at 4:05 pm
My projections estimate that this Total is almost a FG higher than my number 48 - thus giving us value on a under selection. Yes, I know the Broncos, have allowed an average of 35.7 points over its last three games , but this team is much better defensively than their current run would suggest, and offensively they are extremely inconsistent scoring 18 or less points in 5 of their 9 games dating back to last season. Meanwhile, Vegas has recently found a groove in their run game churning out 209-yard day against Cleveland and followed it up with 160 yard against the Chargers and will want to keep that formula in play which in turn should churn up alot of clock time which will help us cash a under ticket.
Under is 5-1 in Raiders last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 22-7 in Raiders last 29 vs. AFC West.
The Broncos are 0-10 UNDER coming off a road game where they scored more points than expected. Under is 10-3-1 in Broncos last 14 vs. AFC West. Under is 20-8-1 in Broncos last 29 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game
Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.