Detroit Pistons (16-55) vs Miami Heat (38-34)

Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 6:00 pm

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Miami has been very inconsistent when it comes to a betting perspective as they have been consistently over rated by the lines-makers  as is evident by failing to cover 13 of their L/18 games overall which includes a DD loss last night in Chicago. Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.

Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games  . MIAMI is  also 4-14 ATS when playing against a struggling  team (Win Pct. 25% or less ) over the last 3 seasons like Motown.MIAMI is also just  7-19 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

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MIAMI is 2-13 ATS  versus struggling  defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 48% or more this season. 

DETROIT is 6-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons.Heat are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

NBA Home underdogs (DETROIT) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, in March games are 50-24 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Detroit to cover 

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Alex’s Pick Detroit Pistons: +9 -105

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