Milwaukee Bucks (32-17) vs New Orleans Pelicans (26-24)
Sunday, January 29, 2023 at 8:00 pm
From an SRS perspective the Pelicans despite of their current sub standard form are being under rated here in the underdog role vs a the powerful Milwaukee Bucks. New Orleans ranks 8th with a 1.88 SRS -While Milwaukee ranks 11th with a 1.60 mark. Adding him home court advantage still gives us adequate value with the road pup.
SRS - Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average
Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games. are 33-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.
NBA Road teams (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite are 40-18 ATS L/5 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on New Orleans to cover
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Alex’s Pick New Orleans Pelicans: +10 -110
AUTHOR: Alex Smart
