Boston Celtics (60-36) vs Miami Heat (63-33)
Monday, May 23, 2022 at 8:30 pm
Both these teams are banged up in what is turning into a back forth battle between two very evenly matched teams, which has me taking points tonight. I know Butler sat out the entire 2nd half in game 3 but is expected back tonight for at least a portion of the game and even in limited use gives us an edge. If butler does not play Lowry and center Bam Adebayo make a formidable duo that wont be easily handled especially with Smart and Jason Tatum hobbled with injuries and less than 100%.
MIAMI is 10-1 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog this season. MIAMI is 11-3 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. MIAMI is 20-9 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Heat are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Conference Finals games. MIAMI is 16-7 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) this season. MIAMI is 16-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game this season.
Celtics are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Finals games.
Heat are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston.
Play on the Miami Heat to cover