Alex Smart Sports- NBA Slam Dunk Side

Denver Nuggets (54-33) at Los Angeles Lakers (60-21)

Friday, September 18, 2020 at 9:00 pm

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The Nuggets have had an exhausting play offs and are off a hard fought 7 game series vs the Clippers where they made several comebacks , which in themselves were exhausting . Now here against a well rested Lakers  side and most probably in a letdown spot after their huge win in game 7 Im going to fade Denver out of the gate in game 1 and go against recency bias. You can also bet the star veterans of this Lakers side are also wide awake and ready to compete after watching the Nuggets beat up on a Clippers side that was expected to battle them here in the Conference finals. DENVER is 4-13 ATS after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.  

Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite.

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Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 13-32 L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on LA Lakers to cover 

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Alex’s Pick Los Angeles Lakers: -7 -110

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