NBA Totals Smash
Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Houston Rockets (48-31) at Los Angeles Lakers (56-20)
Friday, September 04, 2020 at 9:00 pm
The Rockets had the best defensive rating in the bubble at 101.7, and played decent defence against Oklahoma City. Now while expecting some small ball from the Rockets, I still believe the Lakers will return fire in transition a more tempered approach in an effort to take the Rockets off their game, which in turn will result in a lower scoring tilt that the linesmakers might expect.
HOUSTON is 15-4 UNDER in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 223.2 ppg scored.HOUSTON is 27-10 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or more ) over the last 3 seasons with combined average 218.2 ppg going on the board.HOUSTON is 33-17 UNDER as an underdog over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 219.9 ppg scored. D'Antoni is 21-9 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70% or better ) - 2nd half of the season as the coach of HOUSTON with a combined average of 218.4 ppg scored.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (LA LAKERS) - in the 1rst game of a playoff series are 30-10 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.