NBA Side Smash
Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
Miami Heat (49-29) at Milwaukee Bucks (60-19)
Wednesday, September 02, 2020 at 6:30 pm
The Miami Heat took game one of their Eastern Conference Semifinal series against the Milwaukee Bucks with 115-104 win on Monday night, thanks in part to lousy charity stripe shooting (14-26) which was an anomaly. Milwaukee has not really faced much adversity in the play offs so far, but now they must adjust to top tier competition, and Im betting they will do just that here today behind the big ego of Giannis. The Heat work at a lower pace , and like the half court game which does not always suit the Bucks, but HC Budenholzer can and will speed this tilt up with line adjustments, and force Miami to run with them, which in turn will get the Bucks to the promised land in game 2.
MIAMI is 11-21 ATS after scoring 115 points or more this season.MIAMI is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-3 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
Budenholzer is 45-24 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of MILWAUKEE.
NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 13-35 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Milwaukee to cover
Play as high as -5 to -5.5