NBA Play off Totals Smash

NBA Play off Totals Smash Photo by Pool Photo-USA TODAY Sports

Denver Nuggets (48-30) at Utah Jazz (47-30)

Sunday, August 30, 2020 at 8:30 pm

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The Jazz  and Nuggets  are playing at the slowest pace during the play offs, averaging just over 93 possessions per 48 minutes. The reason why these games have been high scoring so far in this series is because of some absolutely insane shooting especially from downtown, but their due for a regression, and Im noticing that Denver is becoming more physical, and that Im betting  is going to create tighter spaces and some ugly shooting which in turn will have a direct effect on this game being lower scoring. Under is 4-1 in Jazz last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (UTAH/DENVER) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 71-32 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. 

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Alex’s Pick Under: 220.5 -111

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