Alex Smart Sports- NBA Slam Dunk Totals Crusher

Alex Smart Sports- NBA Slam Dunk Totals Crusher Photo by Pool Photo-USA TODAY Sports

Milwaukee Bucks (57-18) at Orlando Magic (34-41)

Saturday, August 22, 2020 at 1:00 pm

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Eastern Conference - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 3 - Orlando, FL

Key offensive numbers which give momentum to a lower scoring affair here center around the  Magic have the lowest percentage of shots at the rim in the post season bubble, and  the second-least corner 3s behind a offense that is not always flowing smoothly. Thanks to their offensive inefficiencies they  have registered  the second-worst expected eFG% during these playoffs. Considering how elite the Bucks D, is Im expecting more struggles today. Meanwhile, Orlando can play conssitent D, and when Gordon is on the floor they have a star defender to mobilize against  Antetokounmpo who he  limited to 8-for-21 shooting . With that said, Im betting on a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total.

ORLANDO is 11-2 UNDER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43%  or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 204.3 ppg.ORLANDO is 20-9 UNDER  versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 209 ppg going on the board.ORLANDO is 18-7 UNDER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 70%) or better  over the last 2 seasons. with a combined average of 205.7 ppg scored. 

Play UNDER- 

226 to 222 are viable totals for the under 

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Alex’s Pick Under: 226 -110

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