Alex Smart Sports- NBA Slam Dunk Total

Alex Smart Sports- NBA Slam Dunk Total Photo by Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

Philadelphia 76ers (39-26) at Indiana Pacers (39-26)

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With key Pacers offensive cog not in the lineup here tonight vs Philadelphia, Indiana's offence Im betting will have flow problems. When Sabonis was healthy and playing earlier this season his team averaged 112 points per 100 possession and after he was injured the numbers fell to around 107 ppg points per 100 which is a huge drop in productivity . Im betting this has a direct effect on what  is a bloated tota considering the 76ers own the 4th best ppg average in the league behind a 19th ranked pace. On the flip side the Pacers own the 5th best ppg D, and rank 24th in pace, behind the 24th ranked offence. DEFENCE, DEFENCE and more DEFENCE here today.

l. Note: INDIANA is 11-2 UNDER  in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 197.6 ppg scored.(8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons).

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Alex’s Pick Under: 217 -115