Alex Smart Sports- NBA Totals Smash

Alex Smart Sports- NBA Totals Smash Photo by Jeffrey Swinger-USA TODAY Sports

Utah Jazz (41-23) at New Orleans Pelicans (28-36)

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HP Field House - Orlando, FL

New Orleans is explosive offensively and run and gun at a very high speed. Look at data from their  last 15 games before the covid abruptly end the NBA season, the Pelicans had registered the second-fastest pace in the NBA (106.13). What makes them offensive converting machines is evident by a fourth-highest percentage of their points in transition (16.9%)  during the above time perimeters. Whether Zion plays or not today Im betting they go full throttle, and drag a capable Jazz into a fast paced affair that will eclipse this total. 

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UTAH is 11-3 OVER when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored. 

The Jazz won the season's first two meetings -- 128-120 at home and 128-126 on the road. The Pelicans won the most recent matchup, 138-132 in New Orleans on Jan. 16.

NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 17-0 OVER L/17 on the road/neutral after they had 20+ turnovers during the playoffs with a combined average of 227.7 ppg scored. 

The Pelicans are 23-4-1 OVER L/28 as a favorite with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throw with a combined average 233.4 ppg scored. 

Play OVER 

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Alex’s Pick Over: 220 -110