MLB Best Bet

Miami Marlins (30-54) vs Boston Red Sox (44-39)

Thursday, July 04, 2024 at 1:10 pm

The Red Sox won 7-2 yesterday and look like candidates for aanother multi run deficit win today according to my projections.

Bostons starter Pivetta has pitched his best away from Fenway this season, as is evident by a 3.62 ERA and .252 allowed batting average in 32.1 innings. According to my projections he matches up well vs a Miami side that has struggled to score all season long. Meanwhile the inexperienced , Kyle Tyler goes to the hill for the Miami Marlin ( 3 career starts). The righty is 0-1 with a 3.38 ERA and has allowed 7 hits and 3 runs in his last 8.2 innings of average at best work, and could find himself in trouble early against a BoSox team has shown offensive consistency this season.

The Red Sox have won each of their last seven away games after playing the previous day.The Marlins have lost each of their last 12 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a home loss.The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against the Marlins following a win.The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 home games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.

Play on the BoSox -1.5 run-line

Alex’s Pick Boston Red Sox: -1.5 +110

AUTHOR: Alex Smart

Alex Smart has been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for the better part of 30 years. Since becoming a public documented handicapper he has garnered numerous World Handicapping Championships and top 10 Basketball and Football

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