MLB Best Bet

New York Mets (37-39) vs New York Yankees (52-28)

Wednesday, June 26, 2024 at 7:10 pm

Yankees: Luis Gil (9-2, 2.77 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 97 strikeouts); Mets: Sean Manaea (4-3, 4.16 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 73 strikeouts)

These teams took part in a 9-7 slugfest yesterday with the Mets pulling off the victory. Tonight Im betting on immediate offensive regression as the pitching staffs will be primed to bounce back.

NY METS are 18-7 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 6.9 rpg scored. NY METS are 13-4 UNDER in home games vs. a starting pitcher like NYY expected starter Gill who strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season with a combined average of 6.6 rpg scored. NY METS are 20-8 UNDER in home games against right-handed starters this season like NYY expected starter Gill. NY METS are 15-5 UNDER in home games in night games this season with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scorec.

MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY METS) - allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 33-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.

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Alex’s Pick Under: 8.5 +100

AUTHOR: Alex Smart

Alex Smart has been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for the better part of 30 years. Since becoming a public documented handicapper he has garnered numerous World Handicapping Championships and top 10 Basketball and Football

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