MLB- Total Best Bet

New York Mets (31-37) vs San Diego Padres (37-36)

Saturday, June 15, 2024 at 4:10 pm

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My projections estimate a true line  total closer to 7 to 7.5 here giving us substantial value on a under wager. 

NY METS are 18-7 UNDER  in home games against right-handed starters this season like Mazur with combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. Mets starter QUINTANA is 81-45 UNDER  when the total is 8 to 8.5 in his career. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 7.3 rpg scored. 

The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.35 Units / 24% ROI)The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)

NY METS are 16-7 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season with a combined average of 7 rpg scored. 

Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY METS) - allowing 4.5 or more runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors with the combined average of 7.4 rpg scored. 

Play under 

Alex’s Pick Under: 8.5 -110

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