MLB Totals Smash

Minnesota Twins (22-18) vs Chicago Cubs (19-20)

Sunday, May 14, 2023 at 2:10 pm

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Minnesota's Louie Varland (0-0, 4.32 ERA) will make his ninth career start and first against the Cubs, while Chicago will respond with right-hander Marcus Stroman (2-3, 2.28). Varland has pitched his best at home this season where has garnered a 1.50 ERA in 6 innings of work. It must also be noted that Stroman has gone at least six innings while allowing two or fewer runs in seven of his eight starts this season and Im betting nothing changes today in what Im projecting will be a lower scoring affair. (Also expecting immediate offensive regression from the Twins after yesterdays 11 run output)

Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Under is 20-7-1 in Cubs last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.CHICAGO CUBS are 10-2 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive road games this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored.

Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 7-3-1 in Twins last 11 during game 3 of a series.Under is 9-4-1 in Twins last 14 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 15-7-2 in Twins last 24 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

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Alex’s Pick Under: 7.5 -105

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