Alex Smart Sports- MLB Home Run Club ML Winner -NYY vs TB

Premium Pick Win

New York Yankees (22-18) vs Tampa Bay Rays (30-10)

Saturday, May 13, 2023 at 1:05 pm

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McClanahan (7-0, 1.76 ERA) can become the first eight-game winner in the majors and hes performing an exaggerated level just like the rest of the team. Regression is obviously coming and Im betting it starts today against the Yankees. Note:McClanahan is 1-3 with a 3.26 ERA in six career starts against the Yankees. Meanwhile, Yanks starter Cortes was 2-2 with a 3.28 ERA in four starts against Tampa Bay last season, including a victory on May 26 at St. Petersburg, Fla., when he hurled eight innings of one-run ball. My pitcher vs power rankings suggest he matches up well here vs the Rays and at these implies odds is under rated. Rays are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning record.Yankees are 71-33 in their last 104 home games and are 35-16 in their last 51 home games vs. a left-handed starter like McClanahan. 

TAMPA BAY is 24-35  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons.

NY YANKEES are 33-9 against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (NY YANKEES) - excellent fielding team - averaging 0.5  or less errors/game on the season, after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base are 49-24 L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

NYY to win 

Alex’s Pick New York Yankees: +118

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