Alex Smart Sports- MLB Home Run Club ML Winner
Photo by Jordan Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Chicago White Sox (22-13) at Minnesota Twins (20-16)
Tuesday, September 01, 2020 at 8:10 pm
Dallas Keuchel (LHP 5-2, 2.70 ERA, 26 SO )The southpaw finished 3-2 with a 2.48 ERA over five starts in August. He threw 32 2/3 innings and held the opposition to a .530 OPS and gets my support here today.
CHI WHITE SOX are 10-1 against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 9-1 against the money line in road games after a win this season.
The Twins are 0-8 L/8 on the ML as a home dog after they hit at least one home run last game.
RENTERIA is 20-6 against the money line as a road favorite of -110 or higher as the manager of CHI WHITE SOX.
MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 70-34 L/23 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.
MLB Home teams (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against a good starter (ERA 4.20 or less ) (AL), with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games are 62-29 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate.
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