Gonzaga Bulldogs (31-5) vs Connecticut Huskies (28-8)
Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 8:49 pm
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
UConn behind a potent two way game have the edge here vs a strong offensive side with a average at best D. The Huskies are 14-0 SU and 13-0-1 ATS vs non conference opposition this season and Im betting nothing changes here today.
GONZAGA is 2-8 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. GONZAGA is 0-6 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 150 to 154.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 7-1 ATS in all neutral court games this season.
NBA favorite (CONNECTICUT) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 53-21 ATS L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA underdog (GONZAGA) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 28-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on UConn to cover