Gonzaga Bulldogs (29-5) vs TCU Horned Frogs (22-12)
Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 9:40 pm
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
TCU will not run and gun here today with a superior offense, and instead will be primed to turn this into a grinding physical affair . The Horn Frogs have slowed some of the most explosive offenses in the nation that come from the Big 12. TCU has allowed an average of 68 ppg this season.
GONZAGA is 7-1 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season . GONZAGA is 6-0 UNDER in road games after scoring 75 points or more 5 straight games this season.
TCU is 8-2 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games this season. TCU is 10-1 UNDER in March games over the last 2 seasons.
CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GONZAGA/TCU) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games are 38-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.
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