CBB- Michigan State vs Purdue

Premium Pick Loss

Purdue Boilermakers (20-1) vs Michigan State Spartans (14-7)

Sunday, January 29, 2023 at 12:15 pm

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My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.

Michigan State has won nine of its last 12 games and enters the game on Sunday with a 14-7 overall record, including a 6-4 mark in Big Ten play and must not be underestimated in their ability to compete here this afternoon vs streaking Purdue. The Spartans, have played one of the nation's toughest schedules to open the season, having faced the No. 1 toughest slate of opposing offenses in the country, the 19th-toughest slate of opposing defenses and rank No. 3 overall in strength of schedule. They are battle tested and get my backing to cover . MSU is 3rd in the B1G in scoring defense (64.10 ppg), 2nd in FG% defense (41.3%) and 1st in 3-point defense (28.5%).Tom Izzo is 28-22 in his career against Purdue.Spartans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

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PURDUE is 4-12 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Purdue is 0-6 ATS in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite this season.

Boilermakers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Boilermakers are 1-9-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.

CBB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MICHIGAN ST) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off 2 consecutive close wins by 5 or less over a conference rival are 79-39 ATS L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Michigan State to cover

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Alex’s Pick Michigan State Spartans: +8 -110

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