Youngstown State Penguins (16-6) vs Detroit Titans (8-14)
Sunday, January 29, 2023 at 2:00 pm
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Youngstown State led the nation as the highest team offensive efficiency rating, per teamrankings.com. The Penguins ranked first with 1.145 points per possession. Over the last three games. The offensive efficiency of Youngstown State was 1.150 points per possession and its obvious to me that they matchup very well against a Jesuit group that is 0-6 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.2. This is Detroit Mercy's 2nd road game in 3 nights and fatigue could easily set in here this tilt progresses.
CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DETROIT) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 85 points or more are 19-52 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -11.1 ppg.
Play on Youngstown State to cover
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Alex’s Pick Youngstown State Penguins: -8.5 -110
AUTHOR: Alex Smart
