CFB-Thursday Night Total

Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) vs Georgia State Panthers (1-1)

Thursday, October 15, 2020 at 7:30 pm

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The Arkansas State Red Wolves’ explosive  offense will  be in tough here against the Georgia State Panthers’ top tier  defense. My projections say they will have success , but not on par with the linesmakers estimates. Yes both teams run fast paced offences, but the totals number, is just a tad high considering one of these sides defence is of the top tier variety Note:Georgia State  ranks second in the nation in defensive Havoc and has registered 17 tackles for a loss. Georgia State, ranks first in Stuff Rate, Power Success and against pass explosiveness. Im betting the Panthers dont make life easy for the Red Wolves, and their 50/50 attack might turn to the run more often and eat clock time  because of the problems that the Panthers secondary will provide. This Im betting leads to a lower scoring tilt that the linesmakers expect. 

GEORGIA ST is 7-0 UNDER  in road games off 2 or more consecutive overs with a combined average of 53.8 ppg scored.GEORGIA ST is 10-1 UNDER  after outgaining opp by 125 or more total yards in their previous game with a combined average of 48 ppg going on the score board. 

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CFB teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 (ARKANSAS ST/GEORGIA ST) - when playing on a Thursday are 48-18   UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

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Alex’s Pick Under: 73 -110

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