Oklahoma Sooners (1-1) at Iowa State Cyclones (1-1)
Saturday, October 03, 2020 at 7:30 pm
The Sooners (1-1, 0-1 Big 12) have won five consecutive conference titles and have reached the College Football Playoff for three consecutive seasons, but their ability to continue either of those streaks is in doubt after last week's 38-35 loss to Kansas State. Now in desperation mode, Im betting they will come out here ready to play, but the linesmakers knowing this and playing to public sentiment have over evaluated this line giving us value with the underdog.
The series has been largely lopsided with the Sooners winning 20 of the last 21 meetings and 24 consecutive games in Ames since 1961.
But since Matt Campbell's arrival, the Cyclones have been competitive against Oklahoma. Each of the last four meetings has been decided by 10 or fewer points and Iowa State pulled off an upset at Oklahoma in 2017.
CFB road team vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA) - after allowing 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games against opponent after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games are 4-28 L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate.
CFB Road favorites (OKLAHOMA) - excellent offensive team (440 ot more YPG) against a team with an average defense (330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game are 33-69 ATS L/28 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.
Play on Iowa State to cover