NFL ATS Perfect System Play

San Francisco 49ers (2-2) vs Miami Dolphins (1-3)

Sunday, October 11, 2020 at 4:05 pm

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*3 Star NFL Systems Play CRUSHER* The San Francisco 49ers have had as many injury issues as anyone in the NFL this year. Jimmy G is back under center for them this week and that is clearly a positive. They do expect Deebo Samuel and Raheem Mostert to at least play part of this game. The 49ers though still have a severe cluster injury concern in the secondary. They are also without star pass rusher Nick Bosa. This defense was never great against the run, and now they aren't nearly as good against the pass as they have been in the past couple seasons.

Miami has been pretty competitive this year. They played a pretty tight game at New England in week one. They had more than enough chances to stay within the spread last week against Seattle, but they settled for too many field goals. They did pick up a nice road win at Jacksonville earlier in the season. Byron Jones is expected back in the Dolphins secondary and that is huge for this pass defense. 

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Kyle Shanahan is a really good coach, but he hasn't been good at all as a home favorite. The 49ers have played down to competition in this role in the past. In fact, the 49ers are 0-7 ATS with Shanahan when they are home favorites of 5.5 points or more. They have lost four of those games outright. 

The 49ers should win here, but Fitzpatrick and the Dolphins should move the ball and there is back door potential here as well. This line is too big.

Take Miami. 

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Kyle’s Pick Miami Dolphins: +8 -112

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