Rockets/Mavericks Total

Houston Rockets (40-24) at Dallas Mavericks (40-27)

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*3 Star Play Over* The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets have played twice this year. The first game was a 137-123 contest. The second meeting was a 128-121 final. The posted total in the first game was 230 points. The posted total in the second game was 237-238 points depending on the sportsbook. Here, we have a total of 8 or 9 points lower than that despite the fact that both games sailed over the posted total.

This is a neutral court and that accounts for a move down in the total to a degree, but it can't be adjusted by 8 or 9 points. These are the top two efficiency offenses in the NBA. The two teams both rank just below average in defensive efficiency. 

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Both teams have shot the ball pretty well in their exhibition games here at Disney. The Rockets make a living at the line as well.

I don't generally like to bet many overs on neutral courts, but this is a huge adjustment. The sharp money is on the over here, and I agree.

Take the over. 

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Kyle’s Pick Over: 229 -110

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