Wednesday MLB BEST Bet

New York Yankees (36-27) vs Tampa Bay Rays (42-21)

Wednesday, October 07, 2020 at 7:10 pm

*3 Star Play Over* The New York Yankees lineup got healthy at the right time of the year. With everyone ready to go, this is a scary good lineup. New York is averaging 9 runs per game through their first four games in the playoffs. Stanton is absolutely crushing the baseball, and there isn't an easy out in this lineup.

Charlie Morton was a little shaky this season. He certainly has good stuff, but he isn't consistent and he'll have to be consistently tremendous to slow down this Yankees lineup. Morton has allowed the Yankees lineup a .349 weighted on base average in his career.

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The Yankees start Masahiro Tanaka who was really bad in his first playoff outing. Tanaka has allowed a .309 wOBA against this Rays lineup. Tampa Bay's offense is better than most realize, and the Rays should get plenty of scoring chances here.

Mark Carlson is a clear over umpire based on his strikes called percentages in recent years, and he is behind home plate for this one.

The ball has really been flying well in the playoffs, and I'll take the over in this one.

Take the over.

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Kyle’s Pick Over: 9 -115

AUTHOR: Kyle Hunter

Kyle Hunter has publicly released his plays for more than a decade. A degree in finance with a focus in statistics helps Kyle parse through data and find the stats and trends that matter when it comes to sports betting—especially when it comes to Totals.

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