MLB Major MISMATCH

Pittsburgh Pirates (14-32) at Cincinnati Reds (23-26)

Wednesday, September 16, 2020 at 6:40 pm

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*3 Star Play on Reds -1.5* The Cincinnati Reds have underachieved all season long until their last few contests. Cincinnati is finally starting to hit a little bit. The Reds bullpen is pitching much better as well.

Luis Castillo is on the hill for the Reds here. Castillo has been a much better pitcher in the second half of the season than the first half in his career thus far. He has allowed a .305 weighted on base average in the first half of the season in his career. He has allowed a .278 wOBA in the second half of the season. In September/October specifically, Castillo has a spectacular 2.48 ERA and has allowed only a .239 wOBA in his career.

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Castillo has allowed only 9 hits and 3 runs in his last 15 innings pitched. He is rounding into form of late. He faces the worst offense in the majors against right handed pitching this year. In fact, the Pirates have the worst wOBA against righties by more than 20 points this year. 

The Pirates bullpen has a ton of injuries now and Brubaker hasn't gone 6 innings in a start all year thus far. 

The Pirates have lost 7 straight games and they have lost 6 of those 7 by two runs or more.

Take Cincinnati -1.5. 

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Kyle’s Pick Cincinnati Reds: -1.5 -110

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