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Kansas City Royals (15-28) at Cleveland Indians (26-16)

Thursday, September 10, 2020 at 6:10 pm

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*3 Star Play Under* The Cleveland Indians start Aaron Civale here. Civale has great control. He walks only 1.5 batters per nine innings pitched. He also has more than 10% swinging strikes so far this year, which is a solid number. The Kansas City Royals haven't faced Civale yet, and I think that gives him the advantage against the light hitting Royals offense.

Kansas City ranks 27th in weighted on base average against right handed pitching. This team has been decent against lefties, but they really struggle against right handed pitching. 

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Cleveland ranks 22nd in the majors in wOBA against right handed pitching. Brady Singer is a highly touted right handed prospect for the Royals. Singer has had some difficulty in his last couple starts, but those were against the great White Sox lineup. The Indians haven't been very good offensively this season.

The weather here is a plus as well. Cool temperatures in Cleveland with a wind blowing in at 12 or 13 mph through this game definitely is helpful to an under.

Mike Estabrook is the umpire here and he ranks in the top ten umpires in baseball in percentage of pitches called a strike. A solid under umpire.

Take the under. 

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Kyle’s Pick Under: 8.5 -115

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